Coming off a record-setting year for the nonresidential construction industry (more than $760 billion was spent on new construction and renovation work nationwide last year), AEC firm leaders should be brimming with confidence over the growth potential for their firms heading into 2019. The arrow is pointing up for nearly all building sectors, construction backlogs remain healthy, and architecture firms continue to see strong demand for their design services, according to AIA and ABC data.
Yet despite the positive indicators for the market, AEC professionals remain largely cautious when it comes to growth prospects for 2019. In October, BD+C surveyed 314 readers about their thoughts on a variety of issues: materials prices, bid prices, obstacles to growth, emerging opportunities, etc. Only slightly more than half (56.0%) of industry professionals expect higher revenue for their firm in 2018 compared to last year. More surprisingly, 13.4% are forecasting a decrease in revenue.
And their forecast for 2019 isn’t much rosier: 54.7% expect revenue to increase, 8.7% call for a drop, and 36.7% predict flat revenue this year. This is a markedly different sentiment than last year’s respondents, who were much more upbeat with their forecasts for the upcoming year: 62.0% predicted revenue to rise and only 6.1% called for it to drop.
When asked about their top concerns for 2019, the largest number of respondents cited “general economic conditions” (52.7%) as a key issue, followed by “competition from other firms” (41.0%) and “price increases in materials and services” (39.0%). In fact, nearly 90% of respondents anticipate construction materials prices to rise in 2019. That’s up from 86% in last year’s survey of BD+C readers.
See Also: And then there were two: HQ2 sites, in hindsight, seemed obvious
To help keep their project pipelines full through 2019, AEC firms are focusing on a number of business development strategies heading into this year. Selective hires (44.1%) and marketing/public relations efforts (42.2%) top the list, followed by investments in technology (39.0%), staff training/education (35.9%), and new services/business opportunities (29.2%).
Healthcare facilities and multifamily housing head the list of the hottest sectors heading into 2019, according to survey respondents. More than half (52.5%) indicated that the prospects for healthcare/hospital work were either “excellent” or “good” for 2019; 52.4% said the same for multifamily housing work. Other strong building sectors: senior/assisted living facilities (51.9%), office interiors/fitouts (46.9%), industrial/warehouse buildings (42.7%), hotel/hospitality developments (39.7%), university facilities (38.2%), government/military buildings (37.5%), and office buildings (37.4).
Related Stories
| Aug 11, 2010
AGC unveils comprehensive plan to revive the construction industry
The Associated General Contractors of America unveiled a new plan today designed to revive the nation’s construction industry. The plan, “Build Now for the Future: A Blueprint for Economic Growth,” is designed to reverse predictions that construction activity will continue to shrink through 2010, crippling broader economic growth.
| Aug 11, 2010
USGBC launches Building Performance Initiative
The U.S. Green Building Council is launching the Building Performance Initiative, designed to put in place a comprehensive data collection effort from all buildings that have achieved LEED certification; implement an appropriate analysis methodology of that data; and provide feedback to building owners so they have better information with which to address any performance gaps that stem from predicted building performance versus actual performance.
| Aug 11, 2010
New AIA report on embassies: integrate security and design excellence
The American Institute of Architects (AIA) released a new report to help the State Department design and build 21st Century embassies.
| Aug 11, 2010
Section Eight Design wins 2009 Open Architecture Challenge for classroom design
Victor, Idaho-based Section Eight Design beat out seven other finalists to win the 2009 Open Architecture Challenge: Classroom, spearheaded by the Open Architecture Network. Section Eight partnered with Teton Valley Community School (TVCS) in Victor to design the classroom of the future. Currently based out of a remodeled house, students at Teton Valley Community School are now one step closer to getting a real classroom.
| Aug 11, 2010
PCL Construction, HITT Contracting among nation's largest commercial building contractors, according to BD+C's Giants 300 report
A ranking of the Top 50 Commercial Contractors based on Building Design+Construction's 2009 Giants 300 survey. For more Giants 300 rankings, visit http://www.BDCnetwork.com/Giants
| Aug 11, 2010
Pella introduces BIM models for windows and doors
Pella Corporation now offers three-dimensional (3D) window and door models for use in Building Information Modeling (BIM) projects by architects, designers, and others looking for aesthetically correct, easy-to-use, data-rich 3D drawings.
| Aug 11, 2010
Sargent launches power over ethernet campus access control solution
Sargent takes campus access control to the edge of the network with the new Passport 1000 P1 Power over Ethernet (PoE) hardware. Passport P1 connects to a facility’s Ethernet network with standard cabling, and provides full online access control even when the network is unavailable.
| Aug 11, 2010
Webcor, Hunt Construction lead the way in mixed-use construction, according to BD+C's Giants 300 report
A ranking of the Top 30 Mixed-Use Contractors based on Building Design+Construction's 2009 Giants 300 survey. For more Giants 300 rankings, visit http://www.BDCnetwork.com/Giants
