The latest Beck Group report sees earlier project collaboration as one way out of the inflation/supply chain malaise

In the first six months of 2022, quarter-to-quarter inflation for construction materials showed signs of easing, but only slightly. “It’s important to clarify that costs are not decreasing; a more accurate description is that [they are] getting expensive less quickly,” stated Dallas-based architecture and construction firm The Beck Group, in its Summer 2022 Biannual Cost Report, which Beck released this week.

Covering January through June of this year, the report combines market data from a variety of sources—including AIA, FMI, McKinsey & Company, Autodesk, Cumming, the Urban Land Institute, and Associated General Contractors of America—with insights from the firm’s preconstruction teams in six markets: Atlanta, Austin, Charlotte, Dallas-Fort Worth, Denver, and the state of Florida.

Market conditions remain challenging nearly everywhere. “Schedule-related constraints are a new norm in today’s market,” The Beck Group contends. “Construction firms are in the middle of suppliers who can’t or won’t commit to pricing longer than 10 days and owners with historically prolonged approval processes. This reality conflicts with the past when it was still possible to hold pricing for upwards of 60 days.”

Input Prices and Construction spending — Heavy metal. Products made of steel, copper, brass and other metals have been most vulnerable to inflationary escalation. Courtesy: The Beck Group

Inflation continues to rise — The Beck Group foresees significant inflation in the coming months.

That being said, The Beck Group claims that the industry is on the cusp of a “new era in collaboration to manage costs and schedules.” That is especially true for developers and owners that bring their AEC partners into projects as early as possible. In its report, The Beck Group offers a list of strategies for managing inflation and supply-chain disruptions that mostly revolve around earlier procurement (see box).

Beck Group has devised strategies for fighting inflation and supply chain disruptions. — Earlier procurement is among the strategies that Beck Group recommends to fight project inflation and supply-chain woes.

Beck itself creates procurement packages for its clients to secure materials and equipment, a service that involves the firm’s design and construction teams.

DENVER AN EXPENSIVE PLACE TO BUILD IN

The Beck Group explored costs in six markets. — The cost of office construction and renovation in six markets was one of several building types that The Beck Group's report examined.

On the whole, The Beck Group is seeing significant demand and construction activities in the Sun Belt, in line with the “constant migration” of people and businesses to that region. (It points out, for example, that 43 high-rise towers are under development or construction in Austin.) To keep up with that demand, subcontractors in Texas must rely on imported cement (which, ironically, is among the construction materials least affected by current inflation).

The report takes a deeper dive into the six Sun Belt markets mentioned above, and breaks down project costs by building types—office, healthcare, higher education, faith-based, hospitality, parking, and site work—and their respective sub niches.

The Denver metro is experiencing high demand for multifamily and mixed-use projects. Existing and planned projects are plentiful in the Atlanta market, and subcontractors report substantial backlogs. Building activity in the Florida market remains healthy, bolstered by the state’s economy that is expected to expand by 4 percent between now and 2024. The most significant demand for construction is education, healthcare, and aviation.

Across all building types, it costs more to build or renovate in Denver than in the other five markets, albeit only marginally so in several cases. For example, in healthcare, Denver’s costs per sf for ambulatory surgery centers—ranging from $477 to $583—were around $10 to $25 higher than the other metros. Science and lab buildings cost from $650 to $901 per sf to construct in Denver, versus $631 to $885 in Austin, another S+T hotbed.

The report also compares the cost per key to build or renovate hotels in these six markets, as well as the cost per space for parking and the cost per acre for site development.

CONSTRUCTION EMPLOYMENT STRENGTHENING

Construction unemployment is easing a bit — Construction unemployment, while still relatively high, has been receding nationally since January.

The Beck Group report corroborates what other recent studies have been finding: that the construction employment market, nationally, is improving. Beck predicts this trend to continue as higher wages lure more people into the profession. The employment situation might also explain the slight bump in industry confidence that was evident in the first half of the year.

The Architectural Billings Index measures the general sentiment of U.S. architecture firms about the health of the construction market by measuring 1) design billings and 2) design contracts. Any score above 50 means that, among the architecture firms surveyed, more firms than not reported seeing increases in design work vs. the previous month.