The work from home trend will continue to put pressure on the office real estate market, with peak vacancy of between 22% and 28% in 2026, according to a forecast by Moody’s.
“The discourse around the purported benefits of in-office work, emphasized by some CEOs, has been prominent in the media,” Moody’s says. “Nevertheless, the argument for maintaining or even increasing remote work practices remains compelling for many businesses. If productivity remains stable and costs can be reduced by forgoing physical office spaces, the rationale for mandating in-office attendance diminishes.”
The base model forecast indicates that the impact on office demand from work from home will be around 14% on average across a 63-month period, resulting in vacancy rates that peak in early 2026 at approximately 24% nationally, Moody’s says. The vacancy rate could reach as high as 28% in the highest-case scenario.
Moody’s forecasts that higher vacancy rates will cut revenue for office landlords by between $8 billion and $10 billion by 2026. That could cause property value deterioration in the range of a quarter-trillion dollars.
Related Stories
Architects | Mar 20, 2016
Ars Gratia Artis: A North Carolina architect emphasizes the value of art in its designs
Turan Duda says clients are receptive, but the art must still be integral to the building’s overall vision.
Office Buildings | Mar 16, 2016
Google releases new plans and renderings of its Mountain View campus
The original canopy design scheme is still in place, but the plans now call for it to be opaque.
Office Buildings | Mar 10, 2016
Expedia unveils design for Seattle waterfront campus
Transparency and outdoor areas will give the complex a Pacific Northwest vibe.
Office Buildings | Mar 9, 2016
CBRE: Workplace wellness on the rise
As insurance premiums and deductibles continue to rise, both employees and employers are evaluating options to improve their wellbeing, writes CBRE Healthcare Managing Director Craig Beam.
Market Data | Mar 6, 2016
Real estate execs measure success by how well they manage ‘talent,’ costs, and growth
A new CBRE survey finds more companies leaning toward “smarter” workspaces.
Office Buildings | Mar 2, 2016
HDR redesigns Twin Cities' studio to have coffee shop vibe
With open spaces, huddle rooms, and a design lab, the firm's new digs are drastically different than the old studio, which felt like working in a law office. Design Principal Mike Rodriguez highlights HDR's renovation plan.
Office Buildings | Mar 1, 2016
SmithGroupJJR and The Christman Company create a financial headquarters without the drab
The “un-bank” design ditched the stuffy design elements typical of financial institutions and, instead, created something much more inviting.
Office Buildings | Feb 29, 2016
Mobileapolis: An open experiment in workplace mobility
Check out this fun infographic that explains Perkins+Will's ambitions, findings, and next steps for the future home of the firm's Minneapolis office.
Office Buildings | Feb 26, 2016
Benching, desking, and (mostly) paper-free: Report identifies top trends in workplace design for 2016
The report, from Ted Moudis Associates, encompasses over 2.5 million sf of workspace built over the past two years.
Game Changers | Feb 5, 2016
Asia’s modular miracle
A prefab construction company in China built a 57-story tower in 19 days. Here’s how they did it.
