At the end of 2018, analysts at Lodging Econometrics (LE) reported that the total U.S. construction pipeline continued to trend upward with 5,530 projects/669,456 rooms, both up a strong 7% year-over-year (YOY). However, pipeline totals continue to trail the all-time high of 5,883 projects/785,547 rooms reached in the second quarter of 2008.
Project counts in the early planning stage continue to rise reaching an all-time high of 1,723 projects/199,326 rooms, up 14% by projects and 12% by rooms YOY. Projects scheduled to start construction in the next 12 months stand at 2,153 projects/255,083 rooms. Projects currently under construction are at 1,654 projects/215,047 rooms, the highest counts since early 2008.
Also noteworthy at year-end, the upscale, upper-midscale, and midscale categories are at record-highs, for both rooms and projects. Luxury room counts and upper-upscale project counts are also at record levels.
In 2018, the U.S. had 947 new hotels/112,050 rooms open, a 2% growth in new supply, bringing the total U.S. census to 56,909 hotels/5,381,090 rooms. The LE forecast for new hotel openings in 2019 anticipates a 2.2% supply growth rate with 1,022 new hotels/116,357 rooms expected to open. The pace for new hotel openings has slowed slightly because of construction delays largely caused by shortages in skilled labor.
Lending at attractive rates is still accessible to developers, but lenders are growing more selective as we move deeper into the existing cycle.
The pipeline has completed its seventh consecutive year of growth. Moving forward the growth rate is expected to slow as the economies of most countries, including the United States, more firmly settle into the “new normal" marked by slow growth and low inflation.
While there are no visible signs of a recession on the horizon, the risks to the economy are not insignificant and include tariff conflicts, swings in the stock market, unforeseen geopolitical problems, any of which could send the economy lower.
Related Stories
Market Data | Apr 22, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 22, 2020
Repurposed containers can be used as rapid response airborne infection isolation rooms and virtual site visits help control infection on project sites.
Market Data | Apr 21, 2020
ABC's Construction Backlog Indicator down in February
Backlog for firms working in the infrastructure segment rose by 1.3 months in February while backlog for commercial and institutional and heavy industrial firms declined by 0.6 months and 0.7 months, respectively.
Market Data | Apr 21, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 21, 2020
IoT system helps contractors keep their distance and the multifamily market flattens.
Market Data | Apr 20, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 20, 2020
The continent's tallest living wall and NMHC survey shows significant delays in apartment construction.
Market Data | Apr 17, 2020
Construction employment declines in 20 states and D.C. in March, in line with industry survey showing growing job losses for the sector
New monthly job loss data foreshadows more layoffs amid project cancellations and state cutbacks in road projects as association calls for more small business relief and immediate aid for highway funding.
Market Data | Apr 17, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 17, 2020
Meet the 'AEC outsiders' pushing the industry forward and the world's largest Living Building.
Market Data | Apr 16, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 16, 2020
The SMPS Foundation and Building Design+Construction are studying the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the ability to attain and retain clients and conduct projects and Saks Fifth Avenue plans a sanitized post-coronavirus opening.
Market Data | Apr 15, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 15, 2020
Buildings as "open source platforms" and 3D printing finds its grove producing face shields.
Market Data | Apr 14, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 14, 2020
A robot dog conducts site inspections and going to the library with little kids just got easier.
Market Data | Apr 13, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 13, 2020
How prefab can enable the AEC industry to quickly create new hospital beds and Abu Dhabi launches a design competition focused on reducing urban heat island effect.
