Commercial real estate execs eye multifamily, retail sectors for growth, says KPMG report

Propelled by increasing economic optimism, commercial real estate industry executives say geographic expansion will be a key focus over the coming year, according to a recent survey conducted by KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm.

In the 2013 KPMG Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey, 58 percent of executives said they expect their company to increase spending most on geographic expansion, up from 21 percent in last year’s survey and 11 percent from KPMG’s 2011 survey.

In the United States, executives most frequently cited the Southwest (45 percent) and the Northeast (36 percent) regions as the best commercial real estate investment opportunities. Latin America (32 percent) and Asia Pacific (21 percent) were identified as the top real estate investment opportunities outside of the United States.

“Market expansion is an important focus for commercial real estate executives as they strive to grow the top line,” said Greg Williams, national leader of KPMG LLP’s Real Estate practice. “Domestically, the Southwest and Northeast are attractive markets because they are experiencing higher job and economic growth and thus have experienced a faster recovery, with property prices in select sub-markets within these regions at or above pre-recession levels.”

Development Trends

When asked how much new development is expected to commence in the United States in 2014, multi-family was identified as the top sector with 43 percent of respondents expecting “a significant amount” to launch, down from 51 percent in last year’s survey which significantly outpaced other asset classes. Nineteen percent expect a significant amount of development in retail in 2014, up from five percent in last year’s survey, while 18 percent expect a significant amount of development in hospitality, up from seven percent in last year’s survey.

“Multi-family is still the darling, but all sectors are expected to see an increase in new development as access to financing has improved for these projects, and executives are more optimistic about the economy’s growth prospects,” said Williams.

Seventy-two percent of respondents expect the U.S. economy to either moderately or significantly improve over the next year, up from 58 percent in last year’s survey. Additionally, 84 percent said their companies’ revenue increased over the past year, while the same percentage expects it to increase next year as well.

Revenue Drivers

Acquisitions (53 percent), improving real estate fundamentals (44 percent), and geographic expansion (38 percent) were selected as the top three drivers for revenue growth of the respondents’ companies over the next three years. Class A assets in primary markets (48 percent) and development opportunities (25 percent) were identified by commercial real estate executives as the top assets they would be in the market to acquire in the next year.

“While some markets are still stabilizing post-recession, there’s a flight to safety and security, and class A assets in primary markets continue to be the surest bets,” said Phil Marra, Northeast leader of KPMG’s Real Estate practice. “In some cases, however, we are seeing fresh approaches, such as new REITs forming to address opportunities in the single-family-home rental market.”

Twenty-five percent of those surveyed said their organization is finding an ample supply of quality properties that can deliver a sufficient return at reasonable prices, with another 60 percent saying their organization is not able to find quality properties at reasonable prices.

“Given that pricing is critical to producing sufficient yields, executives are being very selective as the availability of distressed assets has slowed,” added Marra.

Pricing pressures (32 percent), lack of customer demand (30 percent), and regulatory and legislative pressure (24 percent) were cited as the most significant growth barriers over the next year.

Political and Regulatory Uncertainty

When asked to identify the issues posing the biggest threat to business models, 40 percent of executives indicated political and regulatory uncertainty as their top concern. Thirty-three percent of respondents said they did not know how evolving Federal tax policy would impact their organization’s business strategy, while 27 percent said it would decrease their capital investment. Additionally, 67 percent said that their company was only somewhat prepared to proactively manage the impact of public policy and regulatory changes.

“The political and regulatory environment continues to pose challenges and uncertainty,” said Williams. “To maximize their success, organizations should assess how potential regulations and tax policy changes will impact their businesses, and proactively manage those impacts.”

The KPMG Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey

The KPMG survey was completed in spring of 2013 and reflects the responses of 100 senior executives in the commercial real estate industry. Based on revenue in the most recent fiscal year, 8 percent of respondents work for companies with annual revenues exceeding $10 billion, 36 percent with annual revenues in the $1 billion to $10 billion range, and 56 percent with revenues in the $100 million to $1 billion range.

About KPMG LLP

KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm (www.kpmg.com/us), is the U.S. member firm of KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”). KPMG International’s member firms have 152,000 professionals, including more than 8,600 partners, in 156 countries.

Rider Levett Bucknall’s (RLB’s) latest Crane Index and Quarterly Cost Report shows continued decreasing cost inflation and crane counts increasing or holding steady in 10 of the 14 major markets it surveyed. The national average increase in construction costs was 1.07%, the lowest it’s been in the last three years.

AEC Tech | Oct 16, 2024

How AI can augment the design visualization process

Blog author Tim Beecken, AIA, uses the design of an airport as a case-study for AI’s potential in design visualizations.

A hammock grove is one of many wellness amenities within the Student Recreation & Wellness Center at Michigan State University, whose costs are being partly defrayed by a dedicated $340 per year student fee.

University Buildings | Oct 15, 2024

Recreation and wellness are bedfellows in new campus student centers

Student demands for amenities and services that address their emotional and mental wellbeing are impacting new development on college campuses that has led to recreation centers with wellness portfolios.

Higher Education | Oct 14, 2024

Higher education design for the first-gen college student

In this Design Collaborative blog, Yogen Solanki, Assoc. AIA, shares how architecture and design can help higher education institutions address some of the challenges faced by first-generation students.

Performing Arts Centers | Oct 10, 2024

Studio Gang's performing arts center for Hudson Valley Shakespeare breaks ground

A new permanent home for Hudson Valley Shakespeare, a professional non-profit theater company, recently broke ground in Garrison, N.Y. The Samuel H. Scripps Theater Center includes a 14,850 sf performance venue that will serve as a permanent home for the theater company known for its sweeping open-air productions of classics and new works.

Sustainable Design and Construction | Oct 10, 2024

Northglenn, a Denver suburb, opens a net zero, all-electric city hall with a mass timber structure

Northglenn, Colo., a Denver suburb, has opened the new Northglenn City Hall—a net zero, fully electric building with a mass timber structure. The 32,600-sf, $33.7 million building houses 60 city staffers. Designed by Anderson Mason Dale Architects, Northglenn City Hall is set to become the first municipal building in Colorado, and one of the first in the country, to achieve the Core certification: a green building rating system overseen by the International Living Future Institute.

El Cosmico campground hotel, Marfa, Texas. Rendering courtesy ICON and Bjarke Ingels Group

3D Printing | Oct 9, 2024

3D-printed construction milestones take shape in Tennessee and Texas

Two notable 3D-printed projects mark milestones in the new construction technique of “printing” structures with specialized concrete. In Athens, Tennessee, Walmart hired Alquist 3D to build a 20-foot-high store expansion, one of the largest freestanding 3D-printed commercial concrete structures in the U.S. In Marfa, Texas, the world’s first 3D-printed hotel is under construction at an existing hotel and campground site.

University Buildings | Oct 9, 2024

Des Moines University Medicine and Health Sciences opens a new 88-acre campus

Des Moines University Medicine and Health Sciences has opened a new campus spanning 88 acres, over three times larger than its previous location. Designed by RDG Planning & Design and built by Turner Construction, the $260 million campus features technology-rich, flexible educational spaces that promote innovative teaching methods, expand research activity, and enhance clinical services. The campus includes four buildings connected with elevated pathways and totaling 382,000 sf.

Student Housing | Oct 9, 2024

University of Maryland begins work on $148 million graduate student housing development

The University of Maryland, in partnership with Campus Apartments and Mosaic Development Partners, has broken ground on a $148.75 million graduate student housing project on the university’s flagship College Park campus. The project will add 741 beds in 465 fully furnished apartments.

Healthcare Facilities | Oct 9, 2024

How healthcare operations inform design

Amanda Fisher, Communications Specialist, shares how BWBR's personalized approach and specialized experience can make a meaningful impact to healthcare facilities.

Currently Reading

Commercial real estate execs eye multifamily, retail sectors for growth, says KPMG report

Tags

Construction Costs | Oct 16, 2024

AEC Tech | Oct 16, 2024

University Buildings | Oct 15, 2024

Higher Education | Oct 14, 2024

Performing Arts Centers | Oct 10, 2024

Sustainable Design and Construction | Oct 10, 2024

3D Printing | Oct 9, 2024

University Buildings | Oct 9, 2024

Student Housing | Oct 9, 2024

Healthcare Facilities | Oct 9, 2024

Most Popular Content

Magazine Subscription

Get our Newsletters

Follow BD+C: