Commercial real estate execs eye multifamily, retail sectors for growth, says KPMG report

Propelled by increasing economic optimism, commercial real estate industry executives say geographic expansion will be a key focus over the coming year, according to a recent survey conducted by KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm.

In the 2013 KPMG Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey, 58 percent of executives said they expect their company to increase spending most on geographic expansion, up from 21 percent in last year’s survey and 11 percent from KPMG’s 2011 survey.

In the United States, executives most frequently cited the Southwest (45 percent) and the Northeast (36 percent) regions as the best commercial real estate investment opportunities. Latin America (32 percent) and Asia Pacific (21 percent) were identified as the top real estate investment opportunities outside of the United States.

“Market expansion is an important focus for commercial real estate executives as they strive to grow the top line,” said Greg Williams, national leader of KPMG LLP’s Real Estate practice. “Domestically, the Southwest and Northeast are attractive markets because they are experiencing higher job and economic growth and thus have experienced a faster recovery, with property prices in select sub-markets within these regions at or above pre-recession levels.”

Development Trends

When asked how much new development is expected to commence in the United States in 2014, multi-family was identified as the top sector with 43 percent of respondents expecting “a significant amount” to launch, down from 51 percent in last year’s survey which significantly outpaced other asset classes. Nineteen percent expect a significant amount of development in retail in 2014, up from five percent in last year’s survey, while 18 percent expect a significant amount of development in hospitality, up from seven percent in last year’s survey.

“Multi-family is still the darling, but all sectors are expected to see an increase in new development as access to financing has improved for these projects, and executives are more optimistic about the economy’s growth prospects,” said Williams.

Seventy-two percent of respondents expect the U.S. economy to either moderately or significantly improve over the next year, up from 58 percent in last year’s survey. Additionally, 84 percent said their companies’ revenue increased over the past year, while the same percentage expects it to increase next year as well.

Revenue Drivers

Acquisitions (53 percent), improving real estate fundamentals (44 percent), and geographic expansion (38 percent) were selected as the top three drivers for revenue growth of the respondents’ companies over the next three years. Class A assets in primary markets (48 percent) and development opportunities (25 percent) were identified by commercial real estate executives as the top assets they would be in the market to acquire in the next year.

“While some markets are still stabilizing post-recession, there’s a flight to safety and security, and class A assets in primary markets continue to be the surest bets,” said Phil Marra, Northeast leader of KPMG’s Real Estate practice. “In some cases, however, we are seeing fresh approaches, such as new REITs forming to address opportunities in the single-family-home rental market.”

Twenty-five percent of those surveyed said their organization is finding an ample supply of quality properties that can deliver a sufficient return at reasonable prices, with another 60 percent saying their organization is not able to find quality properties at reasonable prices.

“Given that pricing is critical to producing sufficient yields, executives are being very selective as the availability of distressed assets has slowed,” added Marra.

Pricing pressures (32 percent), lack of customer demand (30 percent), and regulatory and legislative pressure (24 percent) were cited as the most significant growth barriers over the next year.

Political and Regulatory Uncertainty

When asked to identify the issues posing the biggest threat to business models, 40 percent of executives indicated political and regulatory uncertainty as their top concern. Thirty-three percent of respondents said they did not know how evolving Federal tax policy would impact their organization’s business strategy, while 27 percent said it would decrease their capital investment. Additionally, 67 percent said that their company was only somewhat prepared to proactively manage the impact of public policy and regulatory changes.

“The political and regulatory environment continues to pose challenges and uncertainty,” said Williams. “To maximize their success, organizations should assess how potential regulations and tax policy changes will impact their businesses, and proactively manage those impacts.”

The KPMG Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey

The KPMG survey was completed in spring of 2013 and reflects the responses of 100 senior executives in the commercial real estate industry. Based on revenue in the most recent fiscal year, 8 percent of respondents work for companies with annual revenues exceeding $10 billion, 36 percent with annual revenues in the $1 billion to $10 billion range, and 56 percent with revenues in the $100 million to $1 billion range.

About KPMG LLP

KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm (www.kpmg.com/us), is the U.S. member firm of KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”). KPMG International’s member firms have 152,000 professionals, including more than 8,600 partners, in 156 countries.

The new Student Activity Center at the University of Texas campus, Austin, is the result of almost 60 years of students lobbying for another dedicated social and cultural center on campus. The 149,000-sf facility is designed to serve as the "campus living room," and should earn a LEED Gold certification, a first for the campus.

| Mar 23, 2011

Architecture Billings Index shows nominal increase

The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported the February Architecture Billings Index score was 50.6, up slightly from a reading of 50.0 the previous month. This score reflects a modest increase in demand for design services (any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings). The new projects inquiry index was 56.4, compared to a mark of 56.5 in December.

| Mar 22, 2011

The American National Standards Institute accredits Stantec for greenhouse gas verification

Stantec Consulting Ltd.’s Atmospheric Environment Group has been awarded accreditation by the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) for verification of assertions related to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The Scope of Accreditation is for verification of emissions and removals at the organizational level for Group 1 – General.

| Mar 22, 2011

Mayor Bloomberg unveils plans for New York City’s largest new affordable housing complex since the ’70s

Plans for Hunter’s Point South, the largest new affordable housing complex to be built in New York City since the 1970s, include new residences for 5,000 families, with more than 900 in this first phase. A development team consisting of Phipps Houses, Related Companies, and Monadnock Construction has been selected to build the residential portion of the first phase of the Queens waterfront complex, which includes two mixed-use buildings comprising more than 900 housing units and roughly 20,000 square feet of new retail space.

| Mar 22, 2011

Autodesk announces 2012 products, streamlines packaging

| Mar 21, 2011

RATIO Architects announces merger with Cherry Huffman Architects

RATIO Architects, Inc. with studios in Indianapolis and Champaign, Ill., recently announced it has merged with prominent Raleigh, N.C., firm Cherry Huffman Architects.

| Mar 18, 2011

Universities will compete to build a campus on New York City land

New York City announced that it had received 18 expressions of interest in establishing a research center from universities and corporations around the world. Struggling to compete with Silicon Valley, Boston, and other high-tech hubs, officials charged with developing the city’s economy have identified several city-owned sites that might serve as a home for the research center for applied science and engineering that they hope to establish.

| Mar 17, 2011

Perkins Eastman launches The Green House prototype design package

Design and architecture firm Perkins Eastman is pleased to join The Green House project and NCB Capital Impact in announcing the launch of The Green House Prototype Design Package. The Prototype will help providers develop small home senior living communities with greater efficiency and cost savings—all to the standards of care developed by The Green House project.

| Mar 17, 2011

Hospitality industry turns to HTS Texas for ‘do not disturb’ air conditioned comfort

Large resort hotels and hospitality properties throughout the Southwest have been working with local contractors, engineers and HTS Texas for the latest innovations in quiet heating, ventilating and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment. The company has completed 12+ projects throughout Texas and the Southwestern U.S. over the past 18 to 24 months, and is currently working on six more hotel projects throughout the region.

Currently Reading

Commercial real estate execs eye multifamily, retail sectors for growth, says KPMG report

Tags

| Mar 23, 2011

| Mar 23, 2011

| Mar 23, 2011

| Mar 22, 2011

| Mar 22, 2011

| Mar 22, 2011

| Mar 21, 2011

| Mar 18, 2011

| Mar 17, 2011

| Mar 17, 2011

Most Popular Content

Magazine Subscription

Get our Newsletters

Follow BD+C: