Real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 2.6% (seasonally adjusted annual rate) during the fourth quarter of 2014, following a 5% increase in the third quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis Jan. 30 release. Nonresidential fixed investment grew by only 1.9% after expanding 8.9% in the third quarter. Investment in equipment declined 1.9%, while investment in nonresidential structures increased 2.6%.
"Today's headline GDP number will be broadly viewed as disappointing as many economists had expected to see a quarterly number in excess of 3%," said Associated Builders and Contractors Chief Economist Anirban Basu. "However, it is important to note that the federal spending category subtracted more than half a percentage point, which means the non-federal portion of the economy expanded faster than 3%.
"In addition to the impact of federal spending which shrank farther than expected, it is also worth noting that spending on nonresidential structures continues to climb," said Basu. "With the economic recovery persisting and with job growth accelerating, business confidence has generally been on the rise, translating into shrinking office and retail vacancy rates and rising hotel occupancy rates. All of this creates a context in which nonresidential construction spending, particularly private construction spending, is likely to expand, which is consistent with ABC's view that the nonresidential construction recovery will continue.
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
"Though today's release indicates that the economy enters 2015 with somewhat less momentum than had been thought, the fact of the matter is that the past nine months represents the strongest period of growth in the current recovery cycle," said Basu. "Undoubtedly, financial markets will continue to be roiled by ongoing fluctuations in input prices and uncertainties regarding the strengthening of the U.S. dollar. But with gas prices low and with job creation now brisk, consumers are likely to continue to push the U.S. economy forward in 2015."
The following segments expanded during the fourth quarter and/or contributed to GDP.
- Personal consumption expenditures added 2.9% to GDP after contributing 2.2% in the third quarter.
- Spending on goods grew 5.4% after increasing by 4.7% in the previous quarter.
- Real final sales of domestically produced output – minus changes in private inventories – increased 1.8% for the quarter after a 5% increase in the third quarter.
- Nondefense spending expanded 1.7% after increasing by 0.4% in the previous quarter.
- State and local government spending expanded 1.3% during the fourth quarter after growing 1.1% in the third quarter.
- A number of key segments did not experience growth for the quarter.
- Federal government spending contracted by 7.5% in the fourth quarter following a -9.9% increase in the prior quarter.
- National defense spending declined by 12.5% after expanding by a full 16% in the third quarter.
To view the previous GDP report, click here.
Related Stories
| Jun 11, 2014
David Adjaye’s housing project in Sugar Hill nears completion
A new development in New York's historic Sugar Hill district nears completion, designed to be an icon for the neighborhood's rich history.
| Jun 11, 2014
Bill signing signals approval to revitalize New Orleans’ convention center corridor
A plan to revitalize New Orleans' Convention Center moves forward after Louisiana governor signs bill.
| Jun 11, 2014
5 ways Herman Miller's new office concept rethinks the traditional workplace
Today's technologies allow us to work anywhere. So why come to an office at all? Herman Miller has an answer.
| Jun 11, 2014
Esri’s interactive guide to 2014 World Cup Stadiums
California-based Esri, a supplier of GIS software, created a nifty interactive map that gives viewers a satellite perspective of Brazil’s many new stadiums.
| Jun 10, 2014
Gaudi’s famed cathedral on ice: Dutch students to construct 132-foot ice replica of Sagrada Familia
"Sagrada Familia in Ice" will be built with a mixture of wooden fibers and plain ice that is three times stronger than ice.
| Jun 10, 2014
Built-in balcony: New skylight windows can fold out to create a patio
Roof window manufacturer Fakro offers a skylight window system that quickly converts into an open-air balcony.
| Jun 9, 2014
10 projects named 2014 AIA Small Project Award winners
Yale's funky new Ground café and a pavilion made from 53,780 recycled plastic bottles are among the nation's best new small projects.
Smart Buildings | Jun 8, 2014
Big Data: How one city took control of its facility assets with data
Over the past few years, Buffalo has developed a cutting-edge facility management program to ensure it's utilizing its facilities and operations as efficiently, effectively, and sustainably as possible.
| Jun 6, 2014
Must see: Can a floating city offset urban population growth in China?
AT Design Office has proposed a design for a floating city to offset increasing urban populations in China. To create the new city, a 10-square kilometer island would be made out of prefab blocks.
| Jun 6, 2014
KPF, Kevin Roche unveil design for 51-story Hudson Yards tower in NYC [slideshow]
Related Companies and Oxford Properties Group are teaming to develop Fifty Five Hudson Yards, the latest addition to the commercial office tower collection in the 28-acre Hudson Yards development—the largest private real estate development in the history of the U.S.
