Real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 2.6% (seasonally adjusted annual rate) during the fourth quarter of 2014, following a 5% increase in the third quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis Jan. 30 release. Nonresidential fixed investment grew by only 1.9% after expanding 8.9% in the third quarter. Investment in equipment declined 1.9%, while investment in nonresidential structures increased 2.6%.
"Today's headline GDP number will be broadly viewed as disappointing as many economists had expected to see a quarterly number in excess of 3%," said Associated Builders and Contractors Chief Economist Anirban Basu. "However, it is important to note that the federal spending category subtracted more than half a percentage point, which means the non-federal portion of the economy expanded faster than 3%.
"In addition to the impact of federal spending which shrank farther than expected, it is also worth noting that spending on nonresidential structures continues to climb," said Basu. "With the economic recovery persisting and with job growth accelerating, business confidence has generally been on the rise, translating into shrinking office and retail vacancy rates and rising hotel occupancy rates. All of this creates a context in which nonresidential construction spending, particularly private construction spending, is likely to expand, which is consistent with ABC's view that the nonresidential construction recovery will continue.
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
"Though today's release indicates that the economy enters 2015 with somewhat less momentum than had been thought, the fact of the matter is that the past nine months represents the strongest period of growth in the current recovery cycle," said Basu. "Undoubtedly, financial markets will continue to be roiled by ongoing fluctuations in input prices and uncertainties regarding the strengthening of the U.S. dollar. But with gas prices low and with job creation now brisk, consumers are likely to continue to push the U.S. economy forward in 2015."
The following segments expanded during the fourth quarter and/or contributed to GDP.
- Personal consumption expenditures added 2.9% to GDP after contributing 2.2% in the third quarter.
- Spending on goods grew 5.4% after increasing by 4.7% in the previous quarter.
- Real final sales of domestically produced output – minus changes in private inventories – increased 1.8% for the quarter after a 5% increase in the third quarter.
- Nondefense spending expanded 1.7% after increasing by 0.4% in the previous quarter.
- State and local government spending expanded 1.3% during the fourth quarter after growing 1.1% in the third quarter.
- A number of key segments did not experience growth for the quarter.
- Federal government spending contracted by 7.5% in the fourth quarter following a -9.9% increase in the prior quarter.
- National defense spending declined by 12.5% after expanding by a full 16% in the third quarter.
To view the previous GDP report, click here.
Related Stories
| Jul 15, 2013
Zaha Hadid unveils plan for boutique condo development in New York
Related Companies taps the London-based architect for the 11-story 520 West 28th Street residential development adjacent to the High Line in Chelsea.
| Jul 15, 2013
Driggs named to lead Heery International
Rich Driggs has been named President of Heery International, following Bill Heitz, who retired on July 1st after 34 years with the company. Driggs is only the fourth leader of Heery International since George Heery founded the firm in 1952.
| Jul 12, 2013
12 award-winning healthcare projects [slideshow]
AIA's Academy of Architecture for Health announced the recipients of the 2013 AIA National Healthcare Design Awards.
| Jul 11, 2013
Pennsylvania legislators work on bill to update demolition codes following fatal building collapse
Pennsylvania lawmakers are working on a bill to update demolition codes, in the wake of a fatal building collapse in Philadelphia in June.
| Jul 11, 2013
Lawsuit challenges modular apartment project in New York City
A plan to build pre-fab apartment buildings at Atlantic Yards in Brooklyn, N.Y., has been challenged by a lawsuit filed by the Plumbing Foundation in Manhattan Supreme Court.
| Jul 10, 2013
World's best new skyscrapers [slideshow]
The Bow in Calgary and CCTV Headquarters in Beijing are among the world's best new high-rise projects, according to the Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat.
| Jul 10, 2013
TED talk: Architect Michael Green on why we should build tomorrow's skyscrapers out of wood
In a newly posted TED talk, wood skyscraper expert Michael Green makes the case for building the next-generation of mid- and high-rise buildings out of wood.
| Jul 9, 2013
Where are they now? 40 Under 40 alumni make their mark in D.C.
Every month we’ll be touching base with past 40 Under 40 honorees to see what’s been happening in their professional and personal lives since winning the award. This month, we feature two outstanding professionals: HKS's Shannon Kraus and Roger Chang from Westlake Reed Leskosky.
| Jul 9, 2013
AISC releases Design Guide on Blast Resistant Structures
Design professionals now have a valuable new resource on blast resistant structures with AISC Design Guide No. 26, Design of Blast Resistant Structures.
