Pop quiz time: Of the total retail sales in 2013, what percentage came from online shopping?
Twenty-five percent? Nope, lower. Twenty percent? Not even close. Ten percent? Getting warmer.
Would you believe that, even with the e-commerce sector’s torrid pace of growth during the past decade, online sales represented just 6% of all retail business last year?
The gloom-and-doom scenario for bricks-and-mortar retail that is portrayed in the media is grossly overstated. It makes for good headlines, but it’s not based in fact, according to Jones Lang LaSalle’s latest retail sector outlook.
“Remember catalogs? Flipping through the pages, dialing up a call center, and placing an order? Web sales are really just replacing that,” said Kris Cooper, Managing Director, JLL Capital Markets. “People still need to see and touch things. The instant gratification of an in-store purchase can’t be discounted. Retailers who want to thrive will need to incorporate it all—hands-on goods, e-commerce, and mobile commerce.”
Giants 300 coverage of Retail brought to you by: C.R. Laurence www.crlaurence.com.
That’s not to say the retail sector doesn’t have its issues. There has been a spate of big-name store closings recently—including Coldwater Creek, Office Depot, and Radio Shack—and retailers continue to struggle to adjust to the structural changes occurring in their industry.
But, all in all, the U.S. retail sector is faring quite well, according to JLL, continuing its solid recovery and exhibiting tightening market conditions. The real estate group expects asking rents nationally to rise 2.7% this year, following 1.1% growth in 2013, and vacancy rates to drop more than 6% for the second straight year.
Net absorption was up a whopping 42% in 2013, to 83.2 million sf. With increased demand for retail space, landlords are starting to exert some power in tenant selection and lease terms, according to JLL.
Here are some highlights from the firm’s Spring 2014 Cross Sector Outlook (http://tinyurl.com/JLLCrossSectorOutlook):
• Power centers are experiencing the tightest overall market conditions, with a total vacancy rate of just 5.1%.
• Investment dollars are flowing into high-quality, grocery-anchored centers and trophy malls. “Demand for those asset types is incredible right now—if only we could convince all the owners to bring those to market,” said Margaret Caldwell, Managing Director, JLL Capital Markets.
• Construction growth will remain marginal during the next 12 months. New construction is focused primarily on single-tenant big-box and discount/wholesale space. Of the multi-tenant projects under construction, the majority are in urban cores and peripheral outlet centers.
• As the market continues to recover, the retail construction sector will eventually see an uptick in construction where tenants demand new space because supply is so constrained, where rents are high enough to justify construction, and where there are few barriers to new development, such as Orlando, Fla.
• Retail property transactions were strong in 2013. Sales of significant retail properties totaled more than $60.8 billion in 2013, up 8% from the previous year. Sales of strip centers and single-tenant properties fared even better, rising 26% year over year.
• There are strong opportunities for development in Sunbelt markets with higher-than-average population growth rates, including Charlotte, N.C., Orlando, and Raleigh, N.C.
SIGNS OF LIFE FOR SHOPPING CENTERS
For the first time since 2007, shopping center development in the U.S. increased year over year, according to Cushman & Wakefield’s new Global Shopping Center Development Report (http://tinyurl.com/CWreport). Nearly 400 shopping centers totaling more than 12.2 million sm of gross leasable area (GLA) were completed in 2013, an increase of 12.7% compared to the previous year.
In fact, the U.S. has accounted for roughly 18% of all new shopping center space delivered worldwide since 2008, according to the report. And there’s no slowdown in sight.
During the next three years, an additional 758 centers containing approximately 11.2 million sm of new GLA will be added to the U.S. inventory, two-thirds of which is expected to be completed in 2014 alone. Developments in California, Florida, and Texas will make up about a third of all new shopping center construction during this period, according to Cushman & Wakefield.
While the large malls get all the headlines—like the long-delayed, 274,000-sm American Dream Meadowlands development in East Rutherford, N.J., and the 149,000-sm Shops at Summerlin (Nev.) Centre—the vast majority of new construction projects are small shopping centers, between 5,000 sm and 20,000 sm, with the average project at 17,700 sm.
Top Retail Architecture Firms
Rank | Company | 2013 Retail Revenue |
1 | Callison | $109,251,013 |
2 | Gensler | 105,979,349 |
3 | RTKL Associates | 66,018,000 |
4 | MulvannyG2 Architecture | 60,000,000 |
5 | Stantec | 57,434,454 |
6 | WD Partners | 44,000,000 |
7 | RSP Architects | 36,346,000 |
8 | Little | 27,786,704 |
9 | MBH Architects | 25,106,000 |
10 | FRCH Design Worldwide | 24,600,000 |
11 | P+R Architects | 19,191,791 |
12 | Architects Orange | 14,036,393 |
13 | CTA Architects Engineers | 14,020,991 |
14 | DLR Group | 13,900,000 |
15 | NORR | 12,997,934 |
16 | CASCO Diversified Corp. | 12,500,000 |
17 | Bergmann Associates | 12,416,000 |
18 | Nadel | 9,000,000 |
19 | Perkins Eastman | 7,750,000 |
20 | Ware Malcomb | 7,600,000 |
21 | HOK | 7,345,023 |
22 | Good Fulton & Farrell | 7,324,000 |
23 | LawKingdon Architecture | 7,250,000 |
24 | Cooper Carry | 4,000,988 |
25 | API | 3,800,000 |
26 | Massa Montalto Architects | 3,482,000 |
27 | Beyer Blinder Belle | 3,205,403 |
28 | RS&H | 2,450,000 |
29 | Smallwood, Reynolds, Stewart, Stewart & Associates | 2,391,617 |
30 | Vocon | 2,366,525 |
31 | Gresham, Smith and Partners | 2,299,000 |
32 | Cuningham Group Architecture | 2,166,411 |
33 | ai Design Group | 2,093,530 |
34 | Solomon Cordwell Buenz | 1,700,000 |
35 | LPA | 1,637,397 |
36 | BLTa | 1,302,000 |
37 | NBBJ | 1,285,000 |
38 | Kohn Pedersen Fox Associates | 1,280,000 |
39 | TK Architects | 1,155,876 |
40 | LS3P | 1,061,129 |
41 | Ratio Architects | 990,326 |
42 | Eppstein Uhen Architects | 954,480 |
43 | RDH Interests | 922,242 |
44 | Carrier Johnson + Culture | 702,235 |
45 | Environetics | 625,747 |
46 | Colkitt & Company | 600,000 |
47 | GBBN Architects | 558,000 |
48 | Harvard Jolly Architecture | 533,943 |
49 | VOA Associates | 521,057 |
50 | JRS Architect | 490,000 |
51 | WATG | Wimberly Interiors | 472,000 |
52 | SchenkelShultz Architecture | 453,000 |
53 | Nelson | 393,822 |
54 | Goodwyn Mills & Cawood | 378,423 |
55 | Wight & Company | 371,000 |
56 | Moody Nolan | 361,308 |
57 | PGAL | 350,300 |
58 | Parkhill, Smith & Cooper | 336,000 |
59 | Montroy Andersen DeMarco | 310,000 |
60 | Becker Morgan Group | 287,996 |
61 | PHX Architecture | 280,000 |
62 | Morris Architects | 260,000 |
63 | BRPH | 225,000 |
64 | Mithun | 210,000 |
65 | FitzGerald Associates Architects | 151,500 |
66 | Clark Nexsen | 143,328 |
67 | Commonwealth Architects | 141,268 |
68 | Baskervill | 115,284 |
69 | Skidmore, Owings & Merrill | 108,913 |
70 | Adache Group Architects | 100,000 |
71 | Corgan | 74,847 |
72 | Hnedak Bobo Group | 72,000 |
73 | Hoefer Wysocki Architecture | 70,000 |
74 | Niles Bolton Associates | 65,728 |
75 | ATA Beilharz Architects | 60,180 |
76 | Hensley Lamkin Rachel | 50,000 |
77 | KZF Design | 47,356 |
78 | Heery International | 45,840 |
79 | TEG Architects | 12,163 |
Top Retail Engineering Firms
Rank | Company | 2013 Retail Revenue |
1 | Jacobs | $182,720,000 |
2 | AECOM Technology Corp. | 105,890,000 |
3 | Henderson Engineers | 43,369,857 |
4 | URS Corp. | 36,003,188 |
5 | Wiss, Janney, Elstner Associates | 19,090,000 |
6 | Parsons Brinckerhoff | 16,431,889 |
7 | Dewberry | 9,513,612 |
8 | Thornton Tomasetti | 8,339,454 |
9 | Wallace Engineering | 7,667,000 |
10 | KLH Engineers | 6,506,748 |
11 | Shive-Hattery | 6,232,480 |
12 | Arup | 5,674,014 |
13 | Dunham Associates | 5,500,000 |
14 | Highland Associates | 4,600,000 |
15 | Magnusson Klemencic Associates | 4,133,492 |
16 | Coffman Engineers | 3,992,285 |
17 | Hixson Architecture, Engineering, Interiors | 3,100,000 |
18 | Davis, Bowen & Friedel | 2,748,648 |
19 | Leidos | 2,520,000 |
20 | WSP Group | 2,270,000 |
21 | Fishbeck, Thompson, Carr & Huber | 2,200,000 |
22 | AKF Group | 2,140,000 |
23 | French & Parrello Associates | 1,985,000 |
24 | KJWW Engineering Consultants | 1,686,418 |
25 | RDK Engineers | 1,670,000 |
26 | Martin/Martin | 1,614,144 |
27 | Interface Engineering | 1,573,325 |
28 | Simpson Gumpertz & Heger | 1,570,000 |
29 | Aon Fire Protection Engineering Corp. | 1,500,000 |
30 | CTLGroup | 1,450,000 |
31 | SSOE Group | 1,423,552 |
32 | Graef | 1,189,813 |
33 | Bala Consulting Engineers | 1,051,000 |
34 | M-E Engineers | 1,000,000 |
35 | Heapy Engineering | 969,445 |
36 | Wick Fisher White | 893,105 |
37 | OLA Consulting Engineers | 888,800 |
38 | Walter P Moore and Associates | 847,312 |
39 | TTG | 732,500 |
40 | DeSimone Consulting Engineers | 691,425 |
41 | H.F. Lenz | 652,000 |
42 | Paulus, Sokolowski and Sartor | 650,000 |
43 | I. C. Thomasson Associates | 600,000 |
44 | Vanderweil Engineers | 576,000 |
45 | Stanley Consultants | 447,960 |
46 | Zak Companies | 422,811 |
47 | Glumac | 421,563 |
48 | Allen & Shariff | 400,000 |
49 | KCI Technologies | 400,000 |
50 | Spectrum Engineers | 345,820 |
51 | TLC Engineering for Architecture | 342,071 |
52 | G&W Engineering Corp. | 217,100 |
53 | Sparling | 204,890 |
54 | Total Building Commissioning | 125,702 |
55 | Apogee Consulting Group | 115,325 |
56 | Barge Waggoner Sumner & Cannon | 100,000 |
57 | Brinjac Engineering | 80,270 |
58 | GHT Limited | 75,000 |
Top Retail Construction Firms
Rank | Company | 2013 Retail Revenue |
1 | PCL Construction | $517,371,436 |
2 | Whiting-Turner Contracting Co., The | 479,057,948 |
3 | Shawmut Design and Construction | 386,000,000 |
4 | EMJ Corp. | 317,000,000 |
5 | Turner Construction | 236,380,000 |
6 | Balfour Beatty US | 195,847,685 |
7 | Lend Lease | 150,997,000 |
8 | Yates Companies, The | 122,000,000 |
9 | Hawkins Construction | 98,500,000 |
10 | Gray Construction | 97,770,000 |
11 | O'Neil Industries/W.E. O'Neil | 93,703,312 |
12 | Beck Group, The | 81,576,752 |
13 | Power Construction | 78,000,000 |
14 | S. M. Wilson & Co. | 72,877,695 |
15 | E.W. Howell | 71,900,000 |
16 | Structure Tone | 71,080,000 |
17 | DPR Construction | 70,199,893 |
18 | Choate Construction | 68,627,625 |
19 | KBE Building Corp. | 68,022,822 |
20 | Ryan Companies US | 67,191,615 |
21 | Weitz Company, The | 64,819,854 |
22 | Pepper Construction | 62,870,000 |
23 | JE Dunn Construction | 62,738,348 |
24 | Graycor | 59,864,863 |
25 | Hoar Construction | 53,500,000 |
26 | Hill & Wilkinson | 51,935,000 |
27 | McCarthy Holdings | 50,650,000 |
28 | Management Resource Systems | 45,255,861 |
29 | Leopardo Companies | 39,729,783 |
30 | Weis Builders | 37,993,000 |
31 | URS Corp. | 36,003,188 |
32 | Layton Construction | 35,900,000 |
33 | Clark Group | 35,131,316 |
34 | Brasfield & Gorrie | 33,249,173 |
35 | EBCO General Contractor | 33,134,000 |
36 | JLL | 30,323,117 |
37 | Paric Corp. | 25,000,000 |
38 | Skanska USA | 24,038,261 |
39 | C.W. Driver | 23,670,000 |
40 | James G. Davis Construction | 22,850,344 |
41 | Walbridge | 22,200,000 |
42 | Hill International | 21,000,000 |
43 | Tutor Perini Corp. | 20,562,786 |
44 | Bomel Construction | 19,179,585 |
45 | Kraus-Anderson Construction | 19,000,000 |
46 | Clune Construction | 17,825,626 |
47 | Austin Commercial | 17,584,385 |
48 | CORE Construction Group | 17,295,729 |
49 | Parsons Brinckerhoff | 16,431,889 |
50 | Hoffman Construction | 14,000,000 |
51 | LeChase Construction Services | 13,120,000 |
52 | Gilbane | 12,521,010 |
53 | IMC Construction | 12,332,000 |
54 | Kitchell Corp. | 11,602,544 |
55 | Suffolk Construction | 10,523,993 |
56 | McShane Companies, The | 6,599,886 |
57 | Manhattan Construction | 6,170,000 |
58 | Bernards | 4,700,000 |
59 | Adolfson & Peterson Construction | 3,534,704 |
60 | Robins & Morton | 3,351,771 |
61 | Batson-Cook | 2,741,450 |
62 | Stalco Construction | 2,310,600 |
63 | Bette Companies, The | 1,548,000 |
64 | Walsh Group, The | 1,485,547 |
65 | W. M. Jordan Company | 965,753 |
66 | Douglas Company, The | 772,135 |
67 | Allen & Shariff | 400,000 |
68 | Alberici Constructors | 156,054 |
Read full 2014 Giants 300 Report
Related Stories
Architects | Jun 19, 2017
Preparing to negotiate: Get your head in the game
Logical and well-planned steps to effective negotiation.
| Jun 13, 2017
Accelerate Live! talk: Is the road to the future the path of least resistance? Sasha Reed, Bluebeam (sponsored)
Bluebeam’s Sasha Reed discusses why AEC leaders should give their teams permission to responsibly break things and create ecosystems of people, process, and technology.
| Jun 13, 2017
Accelerate Live! talk: Incubating innovation through R&D and product development, Jonatan Schumacher, Thornton Tomasetti
Thornton Tomasetti’s Jonatan Schumacher presents the firm’s business model for developing, incubating, and delivering cutting-edge tools and solutions for the firm, and the greater AEC market.
| Jun 13, 2017
Accelerate Live! talk: The future of computational design, Ben Juckes, Yazdani Studio of CannonDesign
Yazdani’s Ben Juckes discusses the firm’s tech-centric culture, where scripting has become an every-project occurrence and each designer regularly works with computational tools as part of their basic toolset.
Industry Research | Jun 13, 2017
Gender, racial, and ethnic diversity increases among emerging professionals
For the first time since NCARB began collecting demographics data, gender equity improved along every career stage.
Architects | Jun 7, 2017
Build your very own version of Frank Lloyd Wright’s Guggenheim Museum with this new LEGO set
744 LEGO bricks are used to recreate the famous Wright design, including the 1992 addition.
Multifamily Housing | Jun 7, 2017
Multifamily visionary: The life and work of architect David Baker
For 35 years, architect David Baker has been a spirited voice for affordable housing, in San Francisco and beyond.
Architects | Jun 5, 2017
NCARB launches second alternative path to architect certification
Architects without a professional degree in architecture can now earn NCARB certification through an alternate path.
Architects | Jun 2, 2017
NELSON joins forces with Cope Linder and KA
More growth ahead, as NELSON expects to double its workforce and revenue this year.
Office Buildings | Jun 2, 2017
Strong brew: Heineken HQ spurs innovation through interaction [slideshow]
The open plan concept features a Heineken bar and multiple social zones.