For the first time since the summer of 2012, the Architecture Billings Index (ABI) posted consecutive months of a decline in demand for design services.
The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported the September ABI score was 48.4, down from the mark of 49.7 in the previous month. This score reflects a decrease in design services (any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings). The new projects inquiry index was 59.4, down from a reading of 61.8 the previous month.
As a leading economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI reflects the approximate nine to twelve month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending.
“This recent backslide should act as a warning signal,” said AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker, Hon. AIA, PhD. “But this drop-off in demand could be continued hesitancy in the marketplace to move forward on projects until the presidential election is decided. The fact that new work coming into architecture continues to slowly increase suggests that billings will resume their growth in the coming months”
Key September ABI highlights:
• Regional averages: South (53.4), Midwest (50.1), West (49.5), Northeast (44.0)
• Sector index breakdown: commercial / industrial (50.4), mixed practice (49.8), institutional (49.0), multifamily residential (48.8)
• Project inquiries index: 59.4
• Design contracts index: 51.4
The regional and sector categories are calculated as a 3-month moving average, whereas the national index, design contracts and inquiries are monthly numbers.
Related Stories
Market Data | Mar 24, 2021
Architecture billings climb into positive territory after a year of monthly declines
AIA’s ABI score for February was 53.3 compared to 44.9 in January.
Market Data | Mar 22, 2021
Construction employment slips in 225 metros from January 2020 to January 2021
Rampant cancellations augur further declines ahead.
Market Data | Mar 18, 2021
Commercial Construction Contractors’ Outlook lifts on rising revenue expectations
Concerns about finding skilled workers, material costs, and steel tariffs linger.
Market Data | Mar 16, 2021
Construction employment in January lags pre-pandemic mark in 42 states
Canceled projects, supply-chain woes threaten future jobs.
Market Data | Mar 15, 2021
Rising materials prices and supply chain disruptions are hurting many construction firms
The same firms are already struggling to cope with pandemic impacts.
Market Data | Mar 11, 2021
Soaring materials costs, supply-chain problems, and project cancellations continue to impact construction industry
Costs and delayed deliveries of materials, parts, and supplies are vexing many contractors.
Market Data | Mar 8, 2021
Construction employment declines by 61,000 in February
Association officials urge congress and Biden administration to focus on new infrastructure funding.
Market Data | Mar 2, 2021
Construction spending rises in January as private nonresidential sector stages rare gain
Private nonresidential market shrinks 10% since January 2020 with declines in all 11 segments.
Market Data | Feb 24, 2021
2021 won’t be a growth year for construction spending, says latest JLL forecast
Predicts second-half improvement toward normalization next year.
Market Data | Feb 23, 2021
Architectural billings continue to contract in 2021
AIA’s Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score for January was 44.9 compared to 42.3 in December.
