In the recent U.S. Construction Pipeline Trend Report released by Lodging Econometrics (LE), at the close of the fourth quarter of 2021, Dallas leads the U.S. markets in the number of pipeline projects with 152 projects/18,180 rooms. Following Dallas, the U.S. markets with the largest total hotel construction pipelines by project count are Atlanta, at a cyclical high, with 133 projects/17,593 rooms; New York City with 121 projects/19,303 rooms; Los Angeles with 120 projects/19,815 rooms; and Houston, with 91 projects/9,912 rooms.
Despite the impact COVID-19 has had on hotel development, three markets in the U.S. announced more than 10 new construction projects in Q4‘21. Miami had the highest number of new projects announced into the pipeline with 17 projects/2,797 rooms. Following Miami is Dallas with 13 projects/1,308 rooms, and then Orlando with 11 projects/1,791 rooms.
The market with the greatest number of projects already in the ground, at the end of the fourth quarter, is New York with 90 projects/14,513 rooms. Following distantly are Dallas with 28 projects/3,945 rooms, Austin with 28 projects/3,706 rooms, Atlanta with 26 projects/4,120 rooms, and Detroit with 23 projects under construction, accounting for 2,432 rooms. These five markets collectively account for 20% of the total number of projects currently under construction in the U.S.
Dallas has the most projects scheduled to start in the next 12 months, with 51 projects/5,989 rooms. Behind Dallas are Atlanta with 51 projects/5,989 rooms; Houston, with 42 projects/4,107 rooms; Los Angeles with 41 projects/6,278 rooms; and Phoenix with 38 projects/4,401 rooms. Dallas also has the largest number of projects in early planning, at the end of Q4’21, with 73 projects/8,246 rooms. Los Angeles follows with 57 projects/9,907 rooms; Atlanta 56 projects/6,561 rooms; Orlando 45 projects/7,896 rooms; and Nashville 38 projects/4,680 rooms.
The top 50 markets saw 449 hotels/63,742 rooms open in 2021. LE is forecasting these same 50 markets to open another 446 projects/57,837 rooms in 2022 for a 2.2% growth rate, and 421 projects/52,460 rooms in 2023 for a growth rate of 1.9%.
Moving into the New Year, an important metric to monitor will be markets with large construction pipelines as compared to their existing census of open & operating hotels. These markets are likely to see the fastest supply growth and largest supply-demand variances over the next few years. At the end of 2021, there were 17 markets with total pipelines in excess of 15% of their current census. Raleigh-Durham tops this list at 24.1%, followed by Miami, Fort Worth-Arlington, Austin, and then Memphis at 22.1%.
The markets topping the forecast for new hotel openings in 2022 will be New York City with 48 new hotels/6,656 rooms for a 5.4% growth rate, Atlanta with 22 projects/2,398 rooms for a 2.1% growth rate, Dallas with 21 projects/2,522 rooms for a 2.4% growth rate, and Austin with 20 projects/2,722 rooms for a 5.9% growth rate. LE expects a 2.1% average growth rate for the top 25 markets in 2022 and, come 2023, these top 25 markets will experience an average growth rate of 1.9%. New York will again top the charts in 2023 for new hotel openings. LE anticipates New York will open 42 new hotels, accounting for 7,058 rooms, again for a 5.4% growth rate, followed by Atlanta 21 projects/3,664 rooms for a 3.2% growth rate, and Dallas with 21 new opens/2,318 rooms for a growth rate of 2.2%.
Related Stories
Reconstruction & Renovation | Mar 28, 2022
Is your firm a reconstruction sector giant?
Is your firm active in the U.S. building reconstruction, renovation, historic preservation, and adaptive reuse markets? We invite you to participate in BD+C's inaugural Reconstruction Market Research Report.
Industry Research | Mar 28, 2022
ABC Construction Backlog Indicator unchanged in February
Associated Builders and Contractors reported today that its Construction Backlog Indicator remained unchanged at 8.0 months in February, according to an ABC member survey conducted Feb. 21 to March 8.
Industry Research | Mar 23, 2022
Architecture Billings Index (ABI) shows the demand for design service continues to grow
Demand for design services in February grew slightly since January, according to a new report today from The American Institute of Architects (AIA).
Codes and Standards | Mar 1, 2022
Engineering Business Sentiment study finds optimism despite growing economic concerns
The ACEC Research Institute found widespread optimism among engineering firm executives in its second quarterly Engineering Business Sentiment study.
Codes and Standards | Feb 24, 2022
Most owners adapting digital workflows on projects
Owners are more deeply engaged with digital workflows than other project team members, according to a new report released by Trimble and Dodge Data & Analytics.
Market Data | Feb 23, 2022
2022 Architecture Billings Index indicates growth
The Architectural Billings Index measures the general sentiment of U.S. architecture firms about the health of the construction market by measuring 1) design billings and 2) design contracts. Any score above 50 means that, among the architecture firms surveyed, more firms than not reported seeing increases in design work vs. the previous month.
Market Data | Feb 15, 2022
Materials prices soar 20% between January 2021 and January 2022
Contractors' bid prices accelerate but continue to lag cost increases.
Market Data | Feb 4, 2022
Construction employment dips in January despite record rise in wages, falling unemployment
The quest for workers intensifies among industries.
Market Data | Feb 2, 2022
Majority of metro areas added construction jobs in 2021
Soaring job openings indicate that labor shortages are only getting worse.
Market Data | Feb 2, 2022
Construction spending increased in December for the month and the year
Nonresidential and public construction lagged residential sector.
