The AIA Consensus Construction Forecast projects annual growth in the 3.5 percent to 4.0 percent range for the remainder of 2017 as well as for 2018, with a slower growing commercial/industrial market, and an institutional sector facing several challenges. While some slowdown in the commercial sector was anticipated for 2017 and 2018, it was expected to be offset by acceleration in the institutional sector. However, year-to date growth in spending for institutional buildings is at only 3%, well below expectations when the year began.
“Despite billings at architecture firms performing quite well this year, the larger construction industry is facing a range of issues,” says AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker, PhD, Hon. AIA. “The somewhat weaker outlook is driven by several factors, some dealing with the broader U.S. economy, some dealing with general construction industry fundamentals, and some dealing with weakness in specific construction sectors.”
Learn more about the AIA Consensus Construction Forecast.
Related Stories
Market Data | Jul 7, 2020
Nonresidential construction has recovered 56% of jobs lost since March employment report
Nonresidential construction employment added 74,700 jobs on net in June.
Market Data | Jul 7, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 7, 2020
Construction industry adds 158,000 workers in June and mall owners open micro distribution hubs for e-commerce fulfillment.
Market Data | Jul 6, 2020
Nonresidential construction spending falls modestly in May
Private nonresidential spending declined 2.4% in May and public nonresidential construction spending increased 1.2%.
Market Data | Jul 6, 2020
Construction industry adds 158,000 workers in June but infrastructure jobs decline
Gains in June are concentrated in homebuilding as state and local governments postpone or cancel roads and other projects in face of looming budget deficits.
Market Data | Jul 6, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 6, 2020
Demand growth for mass timber components and office demand has increased as workers return.
Market Data | Jul 2, 2020
Fall in US construction spending in May shows weakness of country’s construction industry, says GlobalData
Dariana Tani, Economist at GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company, offers her view on the situation
Market Data | Jul 2, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 2, 2020
Construction spending declines 2.1% in May and how physical spaces may adapt to a post-COVID world.
Market Data | Jul 1, 2020
Construction spending declines 2.1% in May as drop in private work outweighs public pickup
Federal infrastructure measure can help offset private-sector demand that is likely to remain below pre-coronavirus levels amid economic uncertainty.
Market Data | Jul 1, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 1, 2020
Facebook to build $800 million data center and 329 metro areas added construction jobs in May.
Market Data | Jun 30, 2020
AIA releases strategies and illustrations for reducing risk of COVID-19 in senior living communities
Resources were developed as part of AIA’s “Reopening America: Strategies for Safer Buildings” initiative.