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A new survey offers a snapshot of New York’s construction market

Market Data

A new survey offers a snapshot of New York’s construction market

Anchin’s poll of 20 AEC clients finds a “growing optimism,” but also multiple pressure points.


By John Caulfield, Senior Editor | January 6, 2022
AEC firms in the New York metro area shared their outlook. Image: Pixabay
The New York construction market, the country's largest, is facing new challenges and opportunities, according to AEC firms that responded to a survey conducted by the accounting firm Anchin. Image: Pixabay

Modernization that leans heavier on technology to attract a younger, diverse, and skilled workforce is likely to determine the future success and growth of New York’s construction industry.

That is one of the key takeaways from a “State of the Construction Industry” survey of 20 New York metro-area AEC firms that the accounting consultancy Anchin, Block & Anchin conducted last November, and whose results it released earlier this month.

 

Technology is a primary driver of success in construction. Chart: Anchin
Technology will continue to be a driver of success in construction. Chart: Anchin

The report found a New York market that is at once resilient and facing “unprecedented challenges.” Its “most pressing” issues, as stated by nearly two-thirds of the firms polled, are labor shortages and public funding for infrastructure projects. Retaining talent is critical to these companies, and has led AEC firms toward greater flexibility about allowing remote or hybrid work, and increasing worker salaries. Thirty percent of the firms polled are focusing on management training and career development.

LIFE SCIENCES AND INDUSTRIAL SEEN AS GROWTH SECTORS

Infrastructure and life sciences are expected to be the most vibrant sectors. Chart: Anchin
Infrastructure and life sciences are where AEC firms in New York see the brightest futures. Chart: Anchin

Since the coronavirus pandemic was declared in March 2020, more than half of the firms surveyed have diversified into the infrastructure sector, no doubt in anticipation of the $1.2 trillion federal infrastructure bill that President Biden signed into law last November. Eighty-five percent of the AEC firms polled expect infrastructure to be their market’s “busiest” sector over the next five to 10 years, followed by the life sciences/healthcare sector (into which nearly half of the firms polled diversified over the past 18 months}.

The survey’s authors also point to the industrial sector’s “growing momentum” as an in-demand asset driven by e-commerce.

However, AEC firms lamented the pressures being exerted on their companies’ cashflows from, most prominently, slower client payments, labor and materials cost inflation, insurance costs, and project delays.

Labor shortages continue to plague projects. Chart: Anchin
Labor shortages continue to be among AEC firms' biggest impediments. Chart: Anchin
 

Half of the survey’s respondents said that their volume of work has increased during the pandemic, by an average of 36 percent. But 30 percent reported decreases in their companies’ work volumes, by an average of 22 percent. And 42 percent of those polled said their backlogs were down from 2019, by an average of 43 percent.

Half of the firms polled report higher work volumes during the pandemic. Chart: Anchin
Half of the AEC firms polled have enjoyed higher work volumes during the pandemic. But a sizable number also report declines in their backlogs. Chart: Anchin
 

RESILIENCE AND SUSTAINABILITY ARE CENTRAL

Decarbonization of buildings is a pressing concern after regulations clamp down on emissions levels. Chart: Anchin
Decarbonization is now a pressing concern for AEC firms, as new regs will clamp down on CO2 emissions from construction and buildings. Chart: Anchin
 

The usual suspects—tunnels, roads, bridges, rail stations—were cited by the survey’s respondents as being among the structures desperate for repair or replacement. A surprising 40 percent of the firms polled also identified “decarbonization” as a need, most probably because of New York’s Local Law 97, which passed in 2019, and creates carbon emissions limits for most commercial buildings over 25,000 sf, as well as alternative paths for the law’s two compliance periods: 2024-2029, and 2030-2034. Building owners must submit emission intensity reports, stamped by a registered design professional, every year starting in 2025 or face substantial fines.

“The overwhelming trend relates to resilience, particularly in the face of a growing urban population; and sustainability/climate change needs, which are being felt acutely,” the report states.

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