A new report by Yardi® Matrix indicates that multifamily deliveries might outpace demand in some key U.S. housing markets.
Yardi Matrix conducted a study to determine which areas might be at risk of oversupply or undersupply over the next five years. The research revealed that deliveries in 2016 and 2017 helped compensate for the construction shortage in the wake of the Great Recession.
"Most of the metros that are at short-term risk of oversupply have strong economies and healthy multifamily demand, so units coming online should be absorbed by growing populations," the report concludes.
Markets and submarkets with outsize development activity, however, "can expect volatility" that will give rise to higher vacancy rates and stagnant rent growth. Achieving market equilibrium going forward will require developers to "intelligently calibrate the amount and location of new projects" to accommodate finite demand.
Yardi Matrix identified Denver, Seattle, Dallas, Phoenix, Miami and Charlotte, N.C., as key markets at risk of oversupply over the next five years. Demand is projected to exceed supply in Los Angeles, California's Inland Empire, Houston, New York, San Diego and Sacramento, Calif.
Read "U.S. Multifamily Supply and Demand Forecasts by Metro" to learn more about homeownership, population shifts, social trends and other factors affecting the multifamily market.
Related Stories
Market Data | Nov 30, 2016
Marcum Commercial Construction Index reports industry outlook has shifted; more change expected
Overall nonresidential construction spending in September totaled $690.5 billion, down a slight 0.7 percent from a year earlier.
Industry Research | Nov 30, 2016
Multifamily millennials: Here is what millennial renters want in 2017
It’s all about technology and convenience when it comes to the things millennial renters value most in a multifamily facility.
Market Data | Nov 29, 2016
It’s not just traditional infrastructure that requires investment
A national survey finds strong support for essential community buildings.
Industry Research | Nov 28, 2016
Building America: The Merit Shop Scorecard
ABC releases state rankings on policies affecting construction industry.
Multifamily Housing | Nov 28, 2016
Axiometrics predicts apartment deliveries will peak by mid 2017
New York is projected to lead the nation next year, thanks to construction delays in 2016
Market Data | Nov 22, 2016
Construction activity will slow next year: JLL
Risk, labor, and technology are impacting what gets built.
Market Data | Nov 17, 2016
Architecture Billings Index rebounds after two down months
Decline in new design contracts suggests volatility in design activity to persist.
Market Data | Nov 11, 2016
Brand marketing: Why the B2B world needs to embrace consumers
The relevance of brand recognition has always been debatable in the B2B universe. With notable exceptions like BASF, few manufacturers or industry groups see value in generating top-of-mind awareness for their products and services with consumers.
Industry Research | Nov 8, 2016
Austin, Texas wins ‘Top City’ in the Emerging Trends in Real Estate outlook
Austin was followed on the list by Dallas/Fort Worth, Texas and Portland, Ore.
Market Data | Nov 2, 2016
Nonresidential construction spending down in September, but August data upwardly revised
The government revised the August nonresidential construction spending estimate from $686.6 billion to $696.6 billion.
