Yardi Matrix releases new national rent growth forecast

Rents in most American cities continue to rise slightly each month, but are not duplicating the rapid escalation rates exhibited in 2021. But given ongoing gains, Yardi® Matrix has revised its end-of-year projections upwards for most markets in a new special report.

Average month-over-month asking rents increased by 1.1 percent in May compared to the one percent month-over-month increase in April. However, year-over-year asking rents decelerated, from 16 percent in April to 14 percent in May.

“While we are seeing the usual seasonal increase leading into the summer months, 2022 does not look like a repeat of 2021 even though rent growth remains elevated,” state Matrix analysts.

Asking rents fell in only six markets: the gateway markets of Queens and Brooklyn; small Southern markets Macon, Ga., and Jackson, Miss.; and tropical Honolulu and the Southwest Florida Coast.

Conversely, 84 markets experienced greater than one percent month-over-month increase, and seven markets saw month-over-month growth that topped two percent: Charleston, Knoxville, the Bay Area-South Bay, Miami, the Urban Twin Cities, Wilmington, N.C., and Portland, Maine.

Most markets received an increase to their end-of-year projections in the newly released Matrix report. The biggest increases were concentrated in markets that continue to outperform expectations, with Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, Wilmington, South Bend and Spokane all seeing a more than five percent increase for year-end 2022.

Learn more about the expectations for rents for the remainder of 2022.

Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, industrial, office and self storage property types. Email matrix@yardi.com, call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn more.