According to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data released today, construction material prices rose another 0.8% in June and are 9.6% higher than they were at the same time one year ago.
June represents the latest month associated with rapidly rising construction input prices. Nonresidential construction materials prices effectively mirrored overall construction prices by rising 0.9% on a month-over-month basis and 9.8% on a year-over-year basis.
“In general, this emerging state of affairs is unfavorable,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Rapidly rising materials prices interfere with economic progress in numerous ways, including by making it less likely that a particular development will move forward. They also increase the cost of delivering government-financed infrastructure, raise costs for final consumers such as homeowners, renters and office tenants, and exacerbate overall inflationary pressures, which serves to push nominal borrowing costs higher.
“Materials prices are up roughly 10% in just one year, and certain categories have experienced significant rates of price increase,” said Basu. “Among these are key inputs that appear to have been impacted by evolving policymaking, including the price of crude petroleum, which is up 49% over the past year, iron and steel, which is up nearly 14%, and softwood lumber, up 23%.
“Some contractors may note the similarities between the current period and the period immediately preceding the onset of the global financial crisis,” said Basu. “Materials prices, for instance, were rising rapidly for much of 2006 and 2007 as the economic expansion that began in 2001 reached its final stages. Today’s data will provide further ammunition for policymakers committed to tightening monetary policy and raising short-term interest rates.
“With no end in sight regarding the ongoing tariff spat between the United States and a number of leading trading partners, and with the domestic economy continuing to expand briskly, construction input prices are positioned to increase further going forward, though the current rate of increase appears unsustainable.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Sep 3, 2019
Nonresidential construction spending slips in July 2019, but still surpasses $776 billion
Construction spending declined 0.3% in July, totaling $776 billion on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis.
Industry Research | Aug 29, 2019
Construction firms expect labor shortages to worsen over the next year
A new AGC-Autodesk survey finds more companies turning to technology to support their jobsites.
Market Data | Aug 21, 2019
Architecture Billings Index continues its streak of soft readings
Decline in new design contracts suggests volatility in design activity to persist.
Market Data | Aug 19, 2019
Multifamily market sustains positive cycle
Year-over-year growth tops 3% for 13th month. Will the economy stifle momentum?
Market Data | Aug 16, 2019
Students say unclean restrooms impact their perception of the school
The findings are part of Bradley Corporation’s Healthy Hand Washing Survey.
Market Data | Aug 12, 2019
Mid-year economic outlook for nonresidential construction: Expansion continues, but vulnerabilities pile up
Emerging weakness in business investment has been hinting at softening outlays.
Market Data | Aug 7, 2019
National office vacancy holds steady at 9.7% in slowing but disciplined market
Average asking rental rate posts 4.2% annual growth.
Market Data | Aug 1, 2019
Nonresidential construction spending slows in June, remains elevated
Among the 16 nonresidential construction spending categories tracked by the Census Bureau, seven experienced increases in monthly spending.
Market Data | Jul 31, 2019
For the second quarter of 2019, the U.S. hotel construction pipeline continued its year-over-year growth spurt
The growth spurt continued even as business investment declined for the first time since 2016.
Market Data | Jul 23, 2019
Despite signals of impending declines, continued growth in nonresidential construction is expected through 2020
AIA’s latest Consensus Construction Forecast predicts growth.